CQ Politics: Eye on the Senate: New Poll Has Dole Behind in North Carolina

CQ Politics
September 21, 2008

Today we update North Carolina in our state round-up of Senate race polls. Also, check out our state-by-state election forecasts for detailed stories on races in each state from the tops of the tickets down.

North Carolina: Recent polls present different pictures of this race with some having Republican Sen. Elizabeth Dole ahead, one with Democratic challenger Kay Hagan leading Dole and another showing a statistical tie. A Public Policy Polling Survey conducted Sept. 17-19 shows Hagan leading 46 percent to 41 percent with 6 percent for Libertarian Chris Cole and 7 percent undecided. The margin of error is 3 percent. On the issue of the economy, voters favor Hagan over Dole 57 percent to 30 percent. An Elon University poll conducted Sept. 15-18 has Hagan and Dole tied at 35 percent each. Forty-eight percent voiced dissatisfaction with Dole, a jump of 22 points since the last survey in April. A [Research 2000 poll] conducted Sept. 8-10 has Dole ahead by 48 percent to 42 percent with 4 percent choosing “other” and 4 percent undecided. The margin of error was 4 points. A SurveyUSA poll conducted Sept. 6-8 had Dole ahead 48 percent to 40 percent with 7 percent for Cole and 5 percent undecided. the margin of error is 3.9 percent. SurveyUSA’s last poll had Dole ahead by 5 points. CQ Politics rates the race as “No Clear Favorite.”

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